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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 7.4 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ UTSA -9.5 154.7 18% 75–70 ✓
Rutgers @ Purdue +12.0 154.0 87% 71–100 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +12.4 161.1 87% 64–95 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +1.1 138.9 54% 73–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +4.0 140.0 67% 68–69 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +9.8 140.9 84% 75–99 ✓
Green Bay @ Oakland +10.3 148.7 85% 72–96 ✓
Miami @ Georgia Tech +10.7 151.0 85% 74–89 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech -7.3 150.2 25% 91–59 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton +7.0 145.6 76% 67–75 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne -8.1 133.0 18% 71–62 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +8.0 137.8 78% 75–72 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +5.0 133.8 72% 71–79 ✓
Creighton @ Seton Hall -10.3 132.2 17% 79–61 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -8.0 149.9 20% 84–69 ✓
Kent State @ Western Michigan -6.4 143.8 25% 77–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio +9.6 151.5 82% 83–79 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ball State +0.1 144.5 51% 69–67 ✗
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -3.7 140.8 29% 71–58 ✓
Akron @ Toledo -4.4 160.4 32% 96–87 ✓
Texas @ Mississippi State +6.5 152.9 76% 87–82 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +8.0 154.4 78% 85–98 ✓
Baylor @ TCU -2.4 138.9 42% 61–58 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa -1.9 148.2 42% 81–77 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -1.1 138.7 49% 73–75 ✗
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +3.7 137.5 67% 69–73 ✓
Auburn @ Texas A&M -5.8 147.7 27% 72–83 ✗
BYU @ Iowa State +6.6 150.6 73% 88–85 ✗
West Virginia @ Utah +1.6 136.6 55% 71–69 ✗
Florida State @ Virginia +2.1 135.6 63% 57–60 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +12.1 156.4 88% 75–77 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +14.7 145.5 89% 56–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Nevada -1.2 147.3 40% 71–67 ✓
Boise State @ Air Force -15.1 133.5 13% 80–57 ✓
Indiana @ Oregon +6.9 146.5 76% 64–73 ✓
Nebraska @ Ohio State +6.3 143.3 73% 114–116 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -1.3 139.7 43% 58–62 ✗
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +3.4 150.4 68% 90–77 ✗
Arizona State @ Arizona +12.2 156.1 87% 100–113 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -1.1 130.0 46% 67–74 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia Southern +3.0 142.7 60% 64–78 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan +1.4 150.0 56% 71–65 ✗
DePaul @ Providence +5.9 145.4 72% 80–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.