But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Oregon Ducks
73 64
FINAL Conference
Indiana Hoosiers
Big Ten Conference · Matthew Knight Arena · March 5, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -6.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money ORE -260 / IU +215
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORE win
Actual ORE +9 137 Won
Massey ORE -5.6 (+3.4)
Massey Totals 148.3 (-11.3)
Bradley-Terry 81%
Weighted B-T 81%
Efficiency Plus ML ORE -5.8 (+3.2) 148.3 (-11.3) 75%
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -6.9 (+2.1) 146.5 (-9.5) 76%
Baseline ML ORE -6.1 (+2.9) 148.0 (-11.0) 77%
Baseline Plus ML ORE -5.8 (+3.2) 148.5 (-11.5) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2026 IU 9274 ORE
Mar 13, 2025 ORE 7259 IU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORE IU
Overall 25-10 19-13
Conference 12-8 10-10
Home 12-4 14-4
Away 7-4 4-6
Neutral 6-2 1-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.5 74.7
Avg Pts Against 70.9 72.0
Massey 14.0 (#35) 11.7 (#51)
Bradley-Terry 2.87 (#21) 2.01 (#47)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.36 (#28) 2.60 (#47)
RPI 0.622 (#15) 0.582 (#47)
Shooting & Four Factors ORE IU
FG% 45.7% 46.7%
3PT% 34.7% 32.4%
REB / G 35.3 36.4
OREB / G 10.3 10.7
AST / TO 1.32 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 52.1%
TOV% 16.0% 16.9%
ORB% 30.8% 31.3%
FT Rate 25.2% 24.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.4%
DRB% 70.6% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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