Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | IU -750 ORE +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +18 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | IU -12.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -10.6 (+7.4) | 144.5 (+21.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -11.6 (+6.4) | 141.3 (+24.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -11.2 (+6.8) | 141.6 (+24.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -12.1 (+5.9) | 144.0 (+22.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | ORE 72 – 59 IU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ORE 73 – 64 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#33) | 6.1 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#39) | 0.54 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#48) | 0.87 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#44) | 0.517 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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