That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–7 on winners spread MAE 8.0 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ Duke +18.3 144.3 90% 60–93 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +11.1 148.1 87% 64–90 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.3 147.0 73% 71–65 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +2.4 144.1 62% 67–78 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -2.6 138.5 37% 73–70 ✓
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman +5.4 133.2 71% 71–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State -0.1 133.7 49% 75–59 ✓
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin -11.3 136.0 15% 95–64 ✓
Howard @ South Carolina State +10.5 152.3 84% 69–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central -5.9 147.7 25% 87–91 ✗
Delaware State @ Morgan State -0.2 158.9 47% 81–87 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +2.2 130.7 61% 57–73 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.9 147.7 52% 76–77 ✓
Houston Christian @ East Texas A&M -1.6 131.3 43% 59–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +17.7 144.8 91% 66–84 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Coppin State +3.4 133.7 65% 72–59 ✗
New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +12.5 145.2 88% 62–95 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar +1.2 139.2 59% 53–65 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +10.9 131.2 83% 59–65 ✓
Wichita State @ North Texas +8.7 130.4 80% 66–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State +11.9 146.0 88% 74–88 ✓
UCLA @ Northwestern +0.6 133.0 53% 73–69 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +5.6 140.5 73% 82–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana State +6.1 145.3 74% 60–75 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State -5.9 148.0 25% 68–63 ✓
Sacramento State @ Portland State +11.1 135.6 87% 56–59 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +9.7 147.3 84% 72–83 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +1.8 139.1 58% 63–66 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine +4.1 146.2 68% 70–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant +15.1 149.0 90% 56–90 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina -1.8 137.8 42% 73–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.