Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +100 SELA -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -0.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -0.5 (+0.5) | 148.0 (+5.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -0.9 (+0.1) | 147.7 (+5.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -0.2 (+0.8) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -0.0 (+1.0) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RGV 96 – 75 SELA |
| Jan 20, 2026 | RGV 68 – 65 SELA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SELA 79 – 75 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#241) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#258) | -0.34 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#256) | -0.56 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#271) | 0.488 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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