Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–13 on winners spread MAE 10.1 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +10.7 165.9 84% 87–103 ✓
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +6.6 137.3 76% 56–68 ✓
Butler @ UConn +10.7 144.6 85% 78–80 ✓
Texas Tech @ Cincinnati -2.0 130.1 42% 81–71 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia +6.2 131.7 74% 56–74 ✓
VCU @ Rhode Island -2.3 143.6 41% 81–57 ✓
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure +1.8 131.4 58% 75–62 ✗
Dayton @ Duquesne -0.7 139.2 49% 82–62 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Davidson +1.3 146.3 61% 78–61 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +10.3 145.0 85% 70–72 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +1.4 138.3 61% 83–64 ✗
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +12.9 150.5 87% 76–84 ✓
Ball State @ Central Michigan +4.8 141.3 70% 82–80 ✗
Akron @ Buffalo -10.2 155.6 17% 90–58 ✓
Ohio State @ Purdue +7.5 142.2 79% 73–70 ✗
UTSA @ UAB +10.2 159.1 85% 78–81 ✓
Bradley @ Belmont -2.9 151.8 41% 89–77 ✓
UCF @ Iowa State +15.3 157.2 89% 83–108 ✓
Marquette @ Seton Hall -14.1 140.3 14% 76–59 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulsa -2.9 138.5 39% 85–76 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa +9.6 140.4 86% 68–79 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +8.6 156.3 83% 81–85 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +1.2 147.3 53% 80–81 ✓
Missouri @ Texas +0.5 146.7 51% 53–61 ✓
Arizona State @ West Virginia +6.4 131.3 76% 65–57 ✗
Louisville @ SMU +1.7 151.8 60% 98–73 ✗
Arizona @ Oklahoma State -10.2 147.5 19% 92–78 ✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest -0.6 142.0 45% 66–67 ✗
Minnesota @ Iowa +10.3 151.1 84% 72–67 ✗
Creighton @ DePaul -4.9 146.9 32% 73–49 ✓
Wisconsin @ UCLA +1.3 142.1 58% 83–85 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +11.5 146.2 87% 71–82 ✓
Wyoming @ UNLV +6.7 134.6 78% 63–61 ✗
BYU @ Colorado -2.2 143.9 43% 83–67 ✓
Utah @ Houston +15.4 133.0 87% 36–70 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross +1.8 143.6 59% 76–71 ✗
Furman @ VMI -5.9 139.7 25% 82–91 ✗
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +1.9 144.1 61% 72–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.