Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -145 MIZ +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +8 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -1.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-38.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.1 (+4.9) | 147.2 (-33.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -0.5 (+7.5) | 146.7 (-32.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -0.3 (+8.3) | 145.8 (-31.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -1.4 (+6.6) | 149.6 (-35.6) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | TEX 85 – 68 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 18-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 83.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#37) | 15.4 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#55) | 3.52 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#54) | 4.27 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#100) | 0.602 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.