Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | COLO +175 BYU -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +16 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -4.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -3.7 (-12.3) | 146.0 (+4.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -2.2 (-13.8) | 143.9 (+6.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.3 (-13.7) | 142.9 (+7.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -2.8 (-13.2) | 144.1 (+5.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BYU 90 – 86 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 0-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#93) | 13.0 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#97) | 1.14 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#97) | 1.74 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#162) | 0.534 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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