Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -3000 UTAH +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +34 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -18.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -15.4 (+18.6) | 130.3 (-24.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -15.4 (+18.6) | 133.0 (-27.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -15.8 (+18.2) | 135.0 (-29.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -16.4 (+17.6) | 133.7 (-27.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | HOU 66 – 52 UTAH |
| Nov 17, 2023 | HOU 76 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-5 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-4 |
| Away | 10-0 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 24.4 (#3) | 9.9 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#21) | 1.27 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#23) | 1.66 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#19) | 0.526 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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