Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +1000 HOU -1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +14 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -15.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -14.0 (+0.0) | 141.4 (-23.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -13.1 (-0.9) | 141.7 (-23.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -12.1 (-1.9) | 141.8 (-23.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -14.8 (+0.8) | 139.6 (-21.6) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2025 | HOU 70 – 36 UTAH |
| Nov 17, 2023 | HOU 76 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-9 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 9-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 62.3 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | 22.3 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#124) | 4.20 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#131) | 5.40 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#208) | 0.648 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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