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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.5
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi Valley State
@
Florida A&M
|
+14.2 | 139.8 | 87% | 53–83 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+15.6 | 148.3 | 90% | 64–73 | ✓ |
Bucknell
@
Colgate
|
+5.3 | 137.6 | 72% | 80–87 | ✓ |
Stonehill
@
Le Moyne
|
-2.6 | 142.2 | 39% | 72–73 | ✗ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Chicago State
|
-2.3 | 141.1 | 38% | 58–48 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Houston Christian
|
-4.8 | 143.8 | 30% | 72–76 | ✗ |
Idaho
@
Montana
|
+3.0 | 146.0 | 66% | 67–72 | ✓ |
Eastern Washington
@
Montana State
|
+5.2 | 140.7 | 71% | 64–74 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
North Carolina A&T
|
-2.9 | 141.7 | 34% | 74–73 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Eastern Michigan
|
-5.1 | 154.7 | 32% | 87–94 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.