Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -800 UAPB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -22.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -16.7 (-7.7) | 148.3 (-11.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BCU -16.1 (-7.1) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BCU -15.6 (-6.6) | 148.3 (-11.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -16.9 (-7.9) | 149.2 (-12.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | BCU 87 – 82 UAPB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | UAPB 76 – 72 BCU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | UAPB 77 – 71 BCU |
| Jan 18, 2022 | UAPB 69 – 63 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-12 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#239) | -23.0 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#230) | -4.16 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#231) | -5.29 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#216) | 0.313 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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