Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -175 WIS +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +2 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -1.6 (+0.4) | 141.4 (+26.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -1.3 (+0.7) | 142.1 (+25.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -1.9 (+0.1) | 142.9 (+25.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.0 (-0.0) | 144.1 (+23.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | WIS 80 – 72 UCLA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | WIS 86 – 70 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#26) | 16.3 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#51) | 3.08 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#52) | 4.24 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#57) | 0.635 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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