Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -192 UCLA +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -1.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -3.5 (+4.5) | 147.9 (+4.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.2 (+5.8) | 147.4 (+4.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.6 (+6.4) | 148.8 (+3.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.6 (+6.4) | 149.2 (+2.8) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | WIS 86 – 70 UCLA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UCLA 85 – 83 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 17-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#59) | 12.3 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#74) | 2.20 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#59) | 2.80 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#81) | 0.567 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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