Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA +120 WIS -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +16 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -0.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.2 (-15.8) | 136.3 (+19.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -0.3 (-16.3) | 137.6 (+18.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -0.5 (-16.5) | 139.1 (+16.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -0.5 (-15.5) | 136.6 (+19.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | WIS 80 – 72 UCLA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UCLA 85 – 83 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#22) | 17.4 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#29) | 2.84 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#30) | 3.78 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#37) | 0.600 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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