Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–15 on winners spread MAE 8.4 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Iowa State -0.2 131.0 41% 53–57 ✗
Missouri @ Kentucky +13.8 158.4 88% 77–90 ✓
Texas @ Cincinnati +7.4 142.0 77% 74–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Florida State -0.7 148.7 48% 82–87 ✗
Kansas State @ West Virginia -4.2 138.7 33% 81–67 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers +4.2 138.5 67% 57–66 ✓
South Carolina @ Alabama +12.2 151.4 82% 47–74 ✓
Rhode Island @ Davidson +5.8 138.1 76% 79–74 ✗
VCU @ George Mason +7.8 139.6 79% 54–50 ✗
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +5.0 139.0 71% 80–64 ✗
Akron @ Ball State -8.3 138.7 19% 80–76 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +1.3 148.5 58% 90–95 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State +3.0 153.9 67% 89–75 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -2.6 141.4 34% 86–65 ✓
Ohio @ Bowling Green +2.8 145.1 65% 78–83 ✓
Yale @ Brown -5.2 137.3 27% 80–70 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Nicholls +5.2 137.9 73% 61–66 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +9.9 140.4 83% 73–90 ✓
Richmond @ Loyola Chicago +1.3 132.3 59% 58–56 ✗
Purdue @ Nebraska -6.5 147.1 21% 72–88 ✗
BYU @ Baylor +1.4 155.8 54% 72–81 ✓
Colorado State @ Boise State -0.1 143.9 52% 58–65 ✗
Wyoming @ Utah State +15.4 146.6 89% 59–83 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul -14.7 137.6 14% 84–58 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +13.3 140.4 88% 69–77 ✓
Duke @ Pittsburgh +0.2 142.4 49% 75–53 ✗
Texas A&M @ Auburn +10.5 143.7 84% 55–66 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +5.0 132.9 72% 75–68 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +16.7 135.7 90% 54–67 ✓
New Mexico @ UNLV -3.4 146.6 35% 73–83 ✗
San Diego State @ San José State -10.8 138.7 16% 81–78 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -11.3 133.9 15% 68–58 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +4.3 127.2 68% 71–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Penn State -0.3 142.0 47% 76–72 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +5.9 138.2 74% 73–75 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State -0.4 147.4 51% 85–93 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.