Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN +240 YALE -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -4.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -4.9 (-5.1) | 137.6 (+12.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -5.2 (-4.8) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.8 (-5.2) | 138.3 (+11.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -4.9 (-5.1) | 139.2 (+10.8) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-2 |
| Away | 6-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#262) | 3.8 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#324) | 0.94 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#294) | 1.32 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#328) | 0.561 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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