Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS +118 CSU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -2.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -0.9 (+6.1) | 139.0 (-16.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -0.1 (+7.1) | 143.9 (-20.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -0.3 (+7.3) | 143.9 (-20.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -0.1 (+6.9) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#63) | 14.6 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#74) | 2.71 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#79) | 3.67 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.660 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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