Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | KENT -170 TOL +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOL +14 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -5.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -4.2 (-18.2) | 151.9 (+12.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -3.0 (-17.0) | 153.9 (+10.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -2.7 (-16.7) | 153.9 (+10.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -2.9 (-16.9) | 152.9 (+11.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | KENT 75 – 72 TOL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | KENT 87 – 84 TOL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | KENT 105 – 65 TOL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | KENT 83 – 64 TOL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | KENT 67 – 59 TOL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#140) | 1.0 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#170) | 0.69 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#153) | 0.28 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#139) | 0.529 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.