Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | DEP +900 CREI -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +26 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -18.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -14.8 (-11.2) | 139.1 (+2.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -14.7 (-11.3) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -16.6 (-9.4) | 138.3 (+3.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -16.8 (-9.2) | 138.5 (+3.5) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-15 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-11 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#283) | 16.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#305) | 1.85 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#297) | 2.67 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#244) | 0.597 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 10.1% |
Game Analysis
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