What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–14 on winners spread MAE 9.1 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa State @ Kansas +2.8 128.3 65% 58–71 ✓
Duke @ Miami -2.8 145.2 39% 85–78 ✓
Arkansas @ Texas A&M -1.1 139.6 45% 61–67 ✗
UCF @ Memphis +2.9 141.8 61% 76–81 ✓
Akron @ Kent State +3.3 141.7 64% 73–79 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's -0.5 128.7 47% 69–57 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central +1.6 140.5 56% 72–65 ✗
Oregon @ UCLA +6.6 136.7 76% 56–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Sam Houston +4.9 129.0 70% 78–75 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +1.9 136.6 57% 83–80 ✗
Creighton @ Xavier -1.5 153.5 44% 60–82 ✗
Maryland @ Indiana -0.3 137.4 47% 60–70 ✗
San José State @ San Diego State +7.1 128.7 76% 49–64 ✓
Jackson State @ Grambling +6.6 131.6 75% 69–78 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia +1.1 129.5 52% 56–76 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +5.2 145.1 69% 80–73 ✗
TCU @ Texas +3.3 142.2 64% 60–66 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulane -0.2 151.4 49% 76–82 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah Valley +4.3 149.7 67% 89–88 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +2.3 138.3 61% 87–92 ✓
Arizona State @ Arizona +5.9 153.1 74% 59–78 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State -1.5 144.2 43% 72–62 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +3.4 145.2 64% 59–72 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +6.9 151.7 75% 60–80 ✓
Missouri @ Alabama +7.6 159.2 78% 61–72 ✓
Ohio State @ Purdue +4.9 137.2 72% 66–80 ✓
Norfolk State @ Howard -0.6 144.4 48% 64–65 ✗
Saint Louis @ VCU +2.8 140.0 62% 78–90 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Princeton +4.3 150.0 69% 70–77 ✓
Cincinnati @ Houston +9.1 134.9 80% 48–69 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana +1.9 141.9 57% 77–73 ✗
Fordham @ Dayton +3.7 128.9 65% 68–78 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M +3.7 139.2 64% 75–87 ✓
Texas Southern @ Grambling +6.4 133.0 75% 61–58 ✗
Tulane @ Memphis +7.1 158.5 75% 54–94 ✓
Texas @ Kansas +0.1 141.0 51% 76–56 ✗
Utah State @ San Diego State -0.2 140.2 48% 57–62 ✗
Xavier @ Marquette +0.6 157.3 51% 51–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.