Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS +130 USU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -1.1 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -0.7 (-9.3) | 142.9 (-8.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -1.3 (-8.7) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -1.5 (-8.5) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -1.4 (-8.6) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#32) | 12.9 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#29) | 2.33 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#26) | 2.94 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#20) | 0.617 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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