Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
UCLA Bruins
75 – 56
FINAL Neutral Conference Pac-12 Tournament
Oregon Ducks
Pac-12 Conference · T-Mobile Arena (Neutral) · March 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -6.0 Home covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Money UCLA -260 / ORE +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +19 131 Won
Massey UCLA -8.6 (+10.4) — —
Massey Totals — 132.6 (-1.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -5.9 (+13.1) 134.3 (-3.3) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCLA -6.5 (+12.5) 133.1 (-2.1) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -6.6 (+12.4) 136.7 (-5.7) 76% ✓
Baseline ML UCLA -6.4 (+12.6) 135.2 (-4.2) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 UCLA 73 – 57 ORE
Dec 6, 2025 UCLA 74 – 63 ORE
Jan 31, 2025 UCLA 78 – 52 ORE
Dec 8, 2024 UCLA 73 – 71 ORE
Mar 14, 2024 ORE 68 – 66 UCLA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA ORE
Overall 31-6 21-15
Conference 18-2 12-8
Home 17-0 15-6
Away 9-2 4-6
Neutral 5-4 2-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 70.6
Avg Pts Against 60.7 66.3
Massey 19.1 (#3) 10.5 (#42)
Bradley-Terry 3.14 (#6) 1.37 (#73)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.71 (#6) 1.82 (#66)
RPI 0.624 (#7) 0.564 (#61)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA ORE
FG% 46.1% 45.3%
3PT% 34.8% 32.3%
REB / G 36.0 37.0
OREB / G 11.9 11.0
AST / TO 1.39 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 51.7%
TOV% 15.6% 18.5%
ORB% 34.5% 32.8%
FT Rate 19.6% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 48.3%
Opp TOV% 24.1% 16.7%
DRB% 72.6% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.9% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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