Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -170 TXSO +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -6.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -6.5 (-9.5) | 135.3 (-16.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -4.1 (-7.1) | 133.3 (-14.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -6.4 (-9.4) | 133.0 (-14.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -6.1 (-9.1) | 133.6 (-14.6) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | -7.6 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#142) | -1.45 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#142) | -1.70 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#126) | 0.455 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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