Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | UVM -278 UML +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -3.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -3.2 (+9.8) | 142.2 (-11.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.6 (+8.4) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -3.4 (+9.6) | 145.2 (-14.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -3.9 (+9.1) | 146.1 (-15.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVM 66 – 64 UML |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UVM 77 – 68 UML |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVM 85 – 61 UML |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UVM 67 – 63 UML |
| Mar 16, 2024 | UVM 66 – 61 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 17-0 |
| Away | 9-6 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#115) | 3.3 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#113) | 0.46 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#133) | 0.50 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#35) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.