Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -5.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -5.0 (+2.0) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -4.4 (+2.6) | 147.6 (-0.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -4.3 (+2.7) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -4.9 (+2.1) | 151.9 (-4.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PENN 61 – 60 PRIN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | PRIN 78 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PRIN 95 – 71 PENN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | PRIN 61 – 59 PENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PRIN 105 – 83 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#109) | 1.9 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#127) | 0.21 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#119) | 0.30 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#99) | 0.531 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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