I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Kent State Golden Flashes
79 – 73
FINAL Neutral Conference MAC
Akron Zips
Mid-American Conference · Rocket Arena (Neutral) · March 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -2.0 Home covered
O/U 135.0 Over
Money KENT -130 / AKR +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual KENT +6 152 Won
Massey KENT -3.3 (+2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 133.5 (+18.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENT -2.6 (+3.4) 142.6 (+9.4) 61% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -1.8 (+4.2) 139.3 (+12.7) 61% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -3.3 (+2.7) 141.7 (+10.3) 64% ✓
Baseline ML KENT -2.7 (+3.3) 143.9 (+8.1) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 AKR 75 – 68 KENT
Feb 28, 2026 AKR 92 – 70 KENT
Jan 30, 2026 AKR 69 – 52 KENT
Mar 1, 2025 AKR 77 – 72 KENT
Feb 1, 2025 AKR 85 – 71 KENT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT AKR
Overall 28-7 22-11
Conference 15-3 13-5
Home 15-0 15-1
Away 9-6 5-6
Neutral 4-1 2-4
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 74.2
Avg Pts Against 66.5 68.3
Massey 8.3 (#73) 5.0 (#98)
Bradley-Terry 1.68 (#53) 0.77 (#106)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.72 (#70) 0.75 (#115)
RPI 0.593 (#23) 0.545 (#86)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT AKR
FG% 44.8% 44.2%
3PT% 32.9% 35.0%
REB / G 35.0 35.1
OREB / G 10.8 10.2
AST / TO 1.06 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 51.9%
TOV% 16.5% 16.3%
ORB% 30.5% 30.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 22.9% 18.1%
DRB% 69.9% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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