Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -345 ASU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -7.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -5.0 (+14.0) | 153.4 (-16.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -5.6 (+13.4) | 153.8 (-16.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -5.9 (+13.1) | 153.1 (-16.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -5.9 (+13.1) | 153.1 (-16.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#9) | 8.8 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#14) | 1.61 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#16) | 1.87 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#8) | 0.563 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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