Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -160 SLU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -3.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -2.7 (+9.3) | 139.5 (+28.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.9 (+9.1) | 138.2 (+29.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -2.8 (+9.2) | 140.0 (+28.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -2.6 (+9.4) | 140.7 (+27.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#74) | 5.1 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#56) | 1.15 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#65) | 1.35 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#25) | 0.573 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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