Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -155 CSUF +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +3 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -2.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -1.3 (-4.3) | 136.6 (+26.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -1.5 (-4.5) | 135.7 (+27.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -1.9 (-4.9) | 136.6 (+26.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -1.8 (-4.8) | 135.6 (+27.4) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#94) | 2.9 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#109) | 0.43 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#105) | 0.43 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#100) | 0.531 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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