Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | YALE -305 COR +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -6.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -7.0 (+13.0) | 151.3 (-11.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -4.8 (+15.2) | 148.7 (-8.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -6.9 (+13.1) | 151.7 (-11.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -6.8 (+13.2) | 151.8 (-11.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#55) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#89) | 0.25 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#84) | 0.32 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#57) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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