Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | UK -440 VAN +335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -6.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -5.0 (-12.0) | 143.4 (+9.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -4.8 (-11.8) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -5.2 (-12.2) | 145.1 (+7.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -5.0 (-12.0) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#24) | 6.6 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#30) | 1.65 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#28) | 1.77 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#44) | 0.580 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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