Utah Valley
Wolverines
88
–
89
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires WAC
Southern Utah
Thunderbirds
Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -190 SUU +158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +1 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -3.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -4.1 (-5.1) | 152.2 (+24.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -3.2 (-4.2) | 152.6 (+24.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.3 (-5.3) | 149.7 (+27.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -4.4 (-5.4) | 150.1 (+26.9) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 12-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#76) | 4.4 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#52) | 0.85 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#54) | 0.92 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#41) | 0.545 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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