Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.0 Under |
| Money | MEM -260 TULN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +40 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -6.3 (+33.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -6.3 (+33.7) | 159.9 (-11.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -6.5 (+33.5) | 158.2 (-10.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.1 (+32.9) | 158.5 (-10.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.5 (+33.5) | 157.0 (-9.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#35) | 4.8 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#31) | 0.99 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#23) | 1.14 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#22) | 0.532 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.