And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–12 on winners spread MAE 7.3 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Michigan State +16.0 153.2 90% 67–79 ✓
Houston @ South Florida -15.1 124.6 14% 83–66 ✓
Alabama @ Florida +0.9 146.0 58% 83–70 ✗
Ole Miss @ Tennessee +17.2 136.3 90% 60–66 ✓
Bowling Green @ Buffalo +5.6 158.1 74% 88–99 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina +1.9 144.7 63% 80–88 ✓
Temple @ UCF +9.6 137.3 84% 66–62 ✗
Presbyterian @ North Carolina A&T +1.4 136.5 61% 57–65 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -10.0 142.2 18% 88–63 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Campbell +3.8 131.8 66% 60–54 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Louisville +10.6 132.6 87% 72–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris -4.9 146.7 29% 64–60 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +9.5 149.9 84% 58–65 ✓
VCU @ Dayton +1.0 124.9 53% 53–52 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's -0.9 142.2 44% 88–73 ✓
Massachusetts @ Richmond +5.4 156.2 73% 72–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford -0.6 142.8 45% 75–67 ✓
Samford @ Mercer +2.1 143.0 64% 80–83 ✓
Furman @ UNC Greensboro -2.5 135.7 44% 58–54 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +1.7 146.3 59% 79–80 ✓
The Citadel @ Western Carolina +1.7 154.9 59% 90–94 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.4 151.0 88% 67–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Miami +3.2 157.6 68% 87–88 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +1.5 131.8 56% 63–49 ✗
Creighton @ Villanova +9.1 133.7 82% 41–75 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -8.1 135.5 19% 72–67 ✓
Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2.7 142.5 34% 68–70 ✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling -6.2 136.4 25% 67–61 ✓
Alcorn State @ Jackson State +4.3 129.3 70% 65–50 ✗
Texas Tech @ Iowa State +4.1 128.5 68% 47–51 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -1.2 145.0 48% 73–78 ✗
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +4.6 138.8 69% 65–92 ✓
Missouri State @ Bradley +0.6 139.3 53% 71–69 ✗
Penn State @ Northwestern +7.4 134.3 76% 74–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -6.4 138.3 27% 90–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco -3.8 136.7 37% 79–74 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese -1.5 146.4 44% 82–92 ✗
Radford @ South Carolina Upstate -0.7 135.7 46% 82–77 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +6.9 134.5 76% 77–72 ✗
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.6 149.4 83% 67–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.