You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–9 on winners spread MAE 9.2 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Presbyterian @ Tennessee +16.9 140.1 89% 44–86 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ UConn +22.1 150.2 91% 63–72 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech +0.9 137.1 49% 82–65 ✗
Furman @ High Point -4.9 150.8 30% 74–70 ✓
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's +0.1 143.3 47% 70–72 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northeastern +6.3 132.8 73% 56–66 ✓
Elon @ UNC Greensboro +11.2 140.5 85% 61–74 ✓
Long Island University @ Delaware +12.2 153.8 87% 67–75 ✓
Longwood @ Georgetown +0.6 137.9 51% 83–91 ✓
Old Dominion @ East Carolina +9.8 138.2 82% 62–63 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M +14.8 142.6 88% 65–85 ✓
Davidson @ Charlotte +0.8 141.6 51% 75–58 ✗
Sacred Heart @ NJIT +9.5 139.2 80% 70–75 ✓
Indiana @ Syracuse -2.5 145.0 33% 110–112 ✗
Minnesota @ Pittsburgh -7.1 133.0 21% 54–53 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Virginia +10.0 143.6 84% 55–74 ✓
Siena @ Army +15.0 135.1 89% 83–67 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Manhattan +10.4 137.7 83% 73–78 ✓
Florida State @ Purdue +14.7 150.3 87% 65–93 ✓
Tulane @ Charleston +6.3 149.8 74% 77–81 ✓
Rider @ Ole Miss +8.2 137.8 78% 51–75 ✓
Northwestern State @ Houston +25.8 139.7 91% 58–99 ✓
Texas State @ Rice +1.5 154.5 51% 80–69 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ South Dakota State +17.1 159.1 89% 90–99 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Omaha -5.4 135.9 29% 75–65 ✓
Jackson State @ Marquette +8.7 139.5 81% 54–83 ✓
Saint Louis @ Boise State +2.7 135.6 56% 86–82 ✗
New Mexico @ New Mexico State +9.6 150.9 81% 101–94 ✗
Hawai'i @ Santa Clara +11.6 155.0 84% 58–70 ✓
Northwestern @ Wake Forest +5.5 150.6 68% 73–77 ✓
Clemson @ Rutgers +1.1 131.8 47% 64–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Creighton +10.9 139.5 84% 55–80 ✓
Duke @ Ohio State -1.5 156.9 39% 66–71 ✗
South Dakota @ San José State +8.0 142.9 78% 52–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ San Diego State +13.1 142.0 87% 47–72 ✓
Pepperdine @ Nevada +11.6 149.1 86% 66–79 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina Upstate +6.1 138.4 70% 67–65 ✗
The Citadel @ UNC Asheville +0.3 146.0 49% 58–65 ✓
American University @ Stony Brook +11.0 147.8 84% 57–80 ✓
Central Michigan @ Xavier +21.0 142.7 91% 45–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.