So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–13 on winners spread MAE 10.4 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
App State @ Tennessee +10.3 130.9 82% 38–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Illinois +13.2 157.2 86% 65–92 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ East Tennessee State +4.8 132.1 67% 60–65 ✓
Hofstra @ Monmouth — — — 96–88 —
Texas Southern @ Auburn +4.3 147.3 70% 63–80 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa +1.6 138.3 63% 69–65 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Louisiana +10.5 143.1 84% 63–73 ✓
Charlotte @ Davidson +11.8 132.5 85% 63–52 ✗
South Carolina State @ Liberty +23.4 136.6 91% 52–82 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Stetson -3.2 135.1 34% 69–78 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Greensboro +16.1 150.4 89% 57–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ VCU +14.9 151.9 87% 68–93 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah +12.2 148.6 86% 67–75 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville +2.8 145.0 60% 63–66 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M +10.4 140.6 83% 52–69 ✓
Jackson State @ Louisiana Tech +11.5 138.5 87% 58–85 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Wisconsin +8.1 137.6 70% 63–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ North Texas +23.1 136.8 90% 56–81 ✓
Southern Miss @ Lamar +5.5 130.5 67% 66–63 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas State +10.4 131.7 85% 46–51 ✓
Indiana State @ Saint Louis +21.1 150.7 90% 59–78 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Florida State +11.6 160.0 85% 61–74 ✓
Florida A&M @ Austin Peay +4.9 143.4 71% 76–70 ✗
Furman @ Alabama +6.2 146.8 74% 80–83 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +6.3 138.9 76% 74–65 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Saint Mary's +10.6 135.4 83% 75–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ La Salle +3.1 137.3 65% 85–66 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Central Connecticut -1.2 159.0 41% 59–78 ✗
Richmond @ Vanderbilt +5.2 140.6 65% 78–67 ✗
Northeastern @ Syracuse +21.2 152.1 91% 56–62 ✓
Campbell @ Elon +3.2 147.5 61% 56–66 ✓
Wagner @ Bryant +16.2 146.6 90% 62–74 ✓
Long Island University @ Sacred Heart — — — 75–55 —
UTSA @ Oregon State +11.7 145.5 86% 61–73 ✓
Omaha @ Colorado +20.4 132.2 91% 49–91 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Miami +3.2 136.1 65% 70–55 ✗
William & Mary @ Hampton +3.4 149.9 63% 75–58 ✗
Mercer @ Georgia State +1.6 159.2 57% 81–88 ✓
Toledo @ Marshall +13.8 144.1 86% 96–87 ✗
San Diego @ Cal Poly +2.1 143.2 56% 70–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.