Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | LAS +170 MASS -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +19 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -4.6 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -2.2 (-21.2) | 136.9 (+14.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -3.1 (-22.1) | 137.3 (+13.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 8-7 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 6-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#135) | 2.4 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#151) | 0.00 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | 0.16 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#109) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 81.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 43.7% |
Game Analysis
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