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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William & Mary
@
George Washington
|
+3.3 | 154.5 | 61% | 85–84 | ✗ |
Northern Arizona
@
Colorado State
|
— | — | — | 52–91 | — |
Central Arkansas
@
Ole Miss
|
+17.4 | 145.3 | 88% | 54–68 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
Creighton
|
+10.2 | 144.2 | 83% | 89–84 | ✗ |
Nevada
@
San Diego
|
-0.8 | 138.6 | 47% | 79–72 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Colorado
|
— | — | — | 45–81 | — |
St. Bonaventure
@
Akron
|
— | — | — | 81–74 | — |
Houston Christian
@
Rice
|
+19.2 | 142.4 | 90% | 79–90 | ✓ |
Chicago State
@
Illinois State
|
+16.8 | 143.3 | 90% | 62–91 | ✓ |
Stanford
@
Cal State Northridge
|
-0.6 | 141.8 | 47% | 82–71 | ✓ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Central Connecticut
|
+0.7 | 159.8 | 54% | 91–86 | ✗ |
Buffalo
@
Miami (OH)
|
+2.8 | 139.4 | 65% | 90–62 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Radford
|
+0.2 | 130.4 | 49% | 53–62 | ✓ |
Coastal Carolina
@
Wofford
|
+2.9 | 138.6 | 59% | 77–88 | ✓ |
Clemson
@
Virginia Tech
|
-0.6 | 126.0 | 42% | 60–66 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.