← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.9
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. John's
@
Georgetown
|
+2.9 | 147.7 | 64% | 94–97 | ✓ |
Sam Houston
@
LSU
|
+25.3 | 153.1 | 91% | 66–88 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Maryland
|
+10.1 | 146.0 | 81% | 74–60 | ✗ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Morehead State
|
-7.2 | 143.2 | 23% | 62–75 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Radford
|
-0.7 | 130.9 | 46% | 66–67 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.