Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -800 AMCC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +5 | 97 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -15.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -10.4 (-5.4) | 131.7 (-34.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -9.6 (-4.6) | 127.8 (-30.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -12.2 (-7.2) | 130.8 (-33.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -11.6 (-6.6) | 131.4 (-34.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2020 | TXST 75 – 63 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#181) | -11.1 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#193) | -3.22 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#216) | -5.18 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#195) | 0.392 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 27.1% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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