Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | CP +260 USD -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | CP -0.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -1.3 (-10.3) | 144.4 (-13.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -2.1 (-11.1) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CP -1.9 (-10.9) | 144.4 (-13.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -2.0 (-11.0) | 147.8 (-16.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | USD 52 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-20 | 3-11 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 2-7 |
| Home | 3-8 | 0-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.8 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#309) | -7.9 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#268) | -2.11 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#272) | -3.61 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#251) | 0.481 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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