Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Under |
| Money | USD -550 CP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +1 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | USD -16.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -10.1 (-9.1) | 123.7 (-20.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -11.1 (-10.1) | 129.1 (-26.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -11.1 (-10.1) | 128.8 (-25.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -11.6 (-10.6) | 126.4 (-23.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2020 | USD 70 – 61 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 2-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#159) | -10.4 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#220) | -3.10 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#163) | -3.55 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#259) | 0.359 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.