Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | FSU -400 GT +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -12.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -11.6 (+1.4) | 160.0 (-25.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -9.6 (+3.4) | 154.6 (-19.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -11.6 (+1.4) | 155.7 (-20.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -11.9 (+1.1) | 154.7 (-19.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FSU 80 – 71 GT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FSU 91 – 78 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FSU 82 – 71 GT |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 11-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-4 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#34) | 4.1 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#17) | 0.12 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.37 (#18) | 0.77 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.721 (#11) | 0.539 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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