Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | ORST -400 UTSA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -15.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -11.7 (+0.3) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -11.4 (+0.6) | 145.8 (-11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -11.6 (+0.4) | 146.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | ORST 66 – 65 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#234) | -14.0 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#286) | -1.10 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#264) | -2.35 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#232) | 0.395 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 24.0% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.