Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -360 KSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -10.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -6.3 (-15.3) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -6.0 (-15.0) | 131.9 (+7.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -5.5 (-14.5) | 135.8 (+3.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -5.4 (-14.4) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 4-14 |
| Home | 2-10 | 6-12 |
| Away | 0-11 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#222) | -8.6 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#255) | -2.17 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#275) | -3.80 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#204) | 0.425 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 9.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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