Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +17 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | HAMP -2.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -3.4 (-20.4) | 149.9 (-16.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -2.5 (-19.5) | 145.9 (-12.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -2.9 (-19.9) | 152.0 (-19.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -3.3 (-20.3) | 150.6 (-17.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-6 |
| Home | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#184) | 2.0 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#169) | 0.67 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#164) | 0.78 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#248) | 0.436 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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