Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -10000 APP +2600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +41 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -11.8 (+29.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -10.3 (+30.7) | 130.9 (-13.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.6 (+29.4) | 132.4 (-15.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -13.3 (+27.7) | 133.0 (-16.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.3 (+29.7) | 129.0 (-12.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#70) | 0.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#47) | -0.55 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#57) | -0.71 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.842 (#2) | 0.436 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.