Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -120 WICH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | TLSA -6.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -1.6 (-5.6) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -2.9 (-6.9) | 137.7 (-3.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -1.6 (-5.6) | 140.5 (-6.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -1.9 (-5.9) | 139.1 (-5.1) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-12 | 16-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-2 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#165) | -1.6 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#264) | -0.22 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#277) | 0.22 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.347 (#297) | 0.508 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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