Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | STET +170 FAU -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -4.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -5.4 (+14.4) | 135.0 (+12.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -3.2 (+12.2) | 135.1 (+11.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.2 (+11.2) | 134.1 (+12.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -3.9 (+12.9) | 133.4 (+13.6) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | FAU 83 – 73 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#306) | -1.9 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#242) | -0.30 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#243) | -0.76 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#234) | 0.402 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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